Virginia McIntyre · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

McIntyre is the Republican challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has McIntyre at 3.4¢ against Morelle's 98.2¢, down 0.6¢ since August 3. Morelle leads 55.1 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

McIntyre · Republican contract

3.4¢

▼ 0.6¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Virginia McIntyre by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 5.8¢ · low 2.5¢Oct 12

Virginia McIntyreRepublican

3.4¢

Joseph D. MorelleDemocratic · incumbent

98.2¢

1,526 traded · 482 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

McIntyre v Morelle

Metric by metric

McIntyre

Morelle

3.4¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

98.2¢

$32.4K

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$1.79M

$12.3K

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$408.0K

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2018

The 2026 race

New York 25th District

Prior result

D+21.6

2024 general election, won by Joseph D. Morelle.

Fundraising

55.1 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.