Elections Intelligence

Tyler Bass

MN-3U.S. House H architectural icon
CHALLENGER Safe D Long shot
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Bass is the Republican challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Bass at 5.8¢ against Morrison's 97.7¢, up 4.7¢ since August 3.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Bass · Republican contract
5.8¢
▲ 4.7¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Tyler Bass by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 6¢ · low 1.1¢Oct 12
Tyler BassRepublican
5.8¢
Kelly MorrisonDemocratic · incumbent
97.7¢

1,695 traded · 788 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Bass v Morrison

Metric by metric
Bass
Morrison
5.8¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
97.7¢
No total for Tyler Bass: no report covering this period is on file with the Federal Election Commission.
RaisedFEC, through July 22
$1.36M
—
Cash on handFEC, through July 22
$413.9K
No office on file
Holds now
U.S. Representativesince 2025

The 2026 race

Minnesota 3rd District
Prior result
D+17.0

2024 general election, won by Kelly Morrison.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.