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Tony Sabio

U.S. House H architectural icon OfficeHouse Republican Long shot
CHALLENGER ON THE 2026 BALLOT SAFE D — AGAINST THE CANDIDATE KALSHI · 6.3¢ · CHECKED 1:29 AM ET
WHAT THE SIGNAL READS ON SABIO
THE SEAT THEY ARE IN

Safe D

Tony Sabio is a candidate in Virginia's 8th district, a seat the band rates Safe D. The market prices their contract at 6.3¢ against Jr.'s 98.8¢, up 2.3¢ across 25 observation days; and they are outraised 97:1 by Donald S. Beyer, Jr..

MARKET · PARTY WINNER Kalshi ↗
Tony Sabio · Republican · KXHOUSERACE-VA08-26-R

6.3¢

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Tony Sabio by name.

▲ 2.3¢

since Aug 3

2026-08-0325 observation days · high 6.6¢ · low 2.0¢2026-09-21
Tony Sabio Republican
6.3¢

Settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on this candidate by name.

Donald S. Beyer, Jr. Democratic · incumbent
98.8¢

Settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on this candidate by name.

DEPTH ON THIS BOOK 13,847 traded · 6,574 open

Sides may not sum to 100. Prices are the yes ask. checked 1:29 AM ET

SABIO AGAINST BEYER · METRIC BY METRIC
Sabio
Beyer
MARKETchecked 1:29 AM ET

6.3¢

98.8¢

RAISED THIS CYCLEFederal Election Commission, through July 15, 2026

$22K

97:1 Donald S. Beyer, Jr.'s advantage

$2.13M

WHAT THEY HOLD NOW

Holds no office

Candidate

U.S. Representative

Virginia's 8th district · since 2025 · defending it

Tony Sabio holds no seat, so no redraw applies to them.

THE 2026 RACE · VIRGINIA 8TH DISTRICT
LATEST POLLNot yet collectedno qualifying public poll retrieved for this race
PRIOR MARGIND+46.862024 general election · this seat's last result, won by Donald S. Beyer, Jr.
STANDING · THIS SEAT
97:1fundraising ratio v Beyer · FEC period 07-15
FUNDRAISING
$21.9Kraised
$17.9Kcash on hand
through July 15, 2026 · checked Aug 31
· Beyer: $2.13M / $838.9K CoH
COMPARE V BEYER ⇄