Elections Intelligence

Tommy Hanson

IL-5U.S. House H architectural icon
CHALLENGER Safe D Long shot
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Hanson is the Republican challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Hanson at 3.5¢ against Quigley's 98¢, up 0.5¢ since August 3.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Hanson · Republican contract
3.5¢
▲ 0.5¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Tommy Hanson by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 4.7¢ · low 3¢Oct 12
Tommy HansonRepublican
3.5¢
Mike QuigleyDemocratic · incumbent
98.0¢

1,173 traded · 907 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Hanson v Quigley

Metric by metric
Hanson
Quigley
3.5¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
98.0¢
No total for Tommy Hanson: no report covering this period is on file with the Federal Election Commission.
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$725.7K
—
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$1.19M
No office on file
Holds now
U.S. Representativesince 2009

The 2026 race

Illinois 5th District
Prior result
D+38.0

2024 general election, won by Mike Quigley.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.