Elections Intelligence

Tom Sell

TX-19U.S. House H architectural icon
CHALLENGER Safe R Strong favorite
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Sell is the Republican nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Sell at 98.5¢ against Rable's 2.1¢, up 3.3¢ since August 3. Sell leads 68.5 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Sell · Republican contract
98.5¢
▲ 3.3¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Tom Sell by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 98.5¢ · low 95.2¢Oct 12
Tom SellRepublican
98.5¢
Kyle RableDemocratic
2.1¢

6,429 traded · 1,132 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Sell v Rable

Metric by metric
Sell
Rable
98.5¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
2.1¢
$2.14M
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$31.3K
$384.8K
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$7.6K
No office on file
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

Texas 19th District
Prior result
Arrington +70.4

Arrington won 80.7% to 10.3% over Nathan Lewis (independent) (2024).

Fundraising
68.5 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.