Elections Intelligence
TB
PROFILES / U.S. HOUSE / NORTH CAROLINA

Tom Bailey

Libertarian · House challenger
CHALLENGER ON THE 2026 BALLOT TOSS-UP KALSHI · SIDE NOT PRICED
THE 2026 RACE · NORTH CAROLINA 1ST DISTRICTFull race page →
OPPONENTDonald G. Davis (D)Incumbent
FTP RACE SIGNALToss-upAI-enabled synthesis of attributed evidence · not a publisher rating
KALSHI · Aug 27D 61¢ · R 42¢
LATEST POLL · STALED+4<a class="e-poll-source" href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_North_Carolina" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">GQR (D) ↗</a> 06-28 · n=500 · 60 days old
BALLOT & DATES
Primary03-03 · HELD
Runoff05-12 · HELD
GeneralNov 3, 2026
D settled · R settled · L settled
Also on the ballot: Tom Bailey (Libertarian)
COMPARE V DAVIS ⇄