Elections Intelligence
Directory
Senate
House
Governors
Attorneys General
TB
PROFILES / U.S. HOUSE / NORTH CAROLINA
Tom Bailey
Libertarian · House challenger
CHALLENGER
ON THE 2026 BALLOT
TOSS-UP
KALSHI · SIDE NOT PRICED
THE 2026 RACE · NORTH CAROLINA 1ST DISTRICT
Full race page →
OPPONENT
Donald G. Davis (D)
Incumbent
FTP RACE SIGNAL
Toss-up
AI-enabled synthesis of attributed evidence · not a publisher rating
KALSHI ·
Aug 27
D 61¢ · R 42¢
LATEST POLL · STALE
D+4
<a class="e-poll-source" href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_North_Carolina" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">GQR (D) ↗</a> 06-28 · n=500 · 60 days old
BALLOT & DATES
Primary
03-03 · HELD
Runoff
05-12 · HELD
General
Nov 3, 2026
D settled · R settled · L settled
Also on the ballot: Tom Bailey (Libertarian)
COMPARE V DAVIS ⇄