Tim Rogers · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Rogers is the Republican challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Rogers at 1.7¢ against Moore's 99.4¢, down 0.2¢ since August 3.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Rogers · Republican contract

1.7¢

▼ 0.2¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Tim Rogers by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 6.4¢ · low 1.3¢Oct 12

Tim RogersRepublican

1.7¢

Gwen MooreDemocratic · incumbent

99.4¢

1,046 traded · 813 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Rogers v Moore

Metric by metric

Rogers

Moore

1.7¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

99.4¢

No total for Tim Rogers: no report covering this period is on file with the Federal Election Commission.

RaisedFEC, through July 22

$1.07M

—

Cash on handFEC, through July 22

$28.6K

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2005

The 2026 race

Wisconsin 4th District

Prior result

D+52.4

2024 general election, won by Gwen Moore.