Elections Intelligence

Tim Griffin

ARAttorney General: AG under a pediment with the scales of justice
INCUMBENT Safe R Strong favorite
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Griffin is the Republican incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Griffin at 97.3¢, down 1.7¢ since August 3.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Griffin · Republican contract
97.3¢
▼ 1.7¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Tim Griffin by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 99.8¢ · low 97.3¢Oct 12
Tim GriffinRepublican · incumbent
97.3¢
Democratic lineNo candidate is named on this contract.
2.8¢

36,720 traded · 13,970 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

The 2026 race

Arkansas Attorney General
Prior result
R+35.2

2022 general election, won by Tim Griffin.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.