Teresa Fox · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Fox is the Republican challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Fox at 2.5¢ against Randall's 99.6¢, down 1.1¢ since August 3. Randall leads 43.2 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Fox · Republican contract

2.5¢

▼ 1.1¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Teresa Fox by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 6.2¢ · low 2.5¢Oct 12

Teresa FoxRepublican

2.5¢

Emily RandallDemocratic · incumbent

99.6¢

1,625 traded · 780 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Fox v Randall

Metric by metric

Fox

Randall

2.5¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

99.6¢

$27.6K

RaisedFEC, through July 15

$1.20M

$2.8K

Cash on handFEC, through July 15

$241.6K

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2025

The 2026 race

Washington 6th District

Prior result

D+13.6

2024 general election, won by Emily Randall.

Fundraising

43.2 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 15.