T.P. Nykoriak · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Nykoriak is the Republican nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Nykoriak at 1.9¢ against McKinney's 99.7¢, down 2.1¢ since August 3.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Nykoriak · Republican contract

1.9¢

▼ 2.1¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on T.P. Nykoriak by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 62¢ · low 1.5¢Oct 12

T.P. NykoriakRepublican

1.9¢

Donavan McKinneyDemocratic

99.7¢

1,185 traded · 1,127 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Nykoriak v McKinney

Metric by metric

Nykoriak

McKinney

1.9¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

99.7¢

No total for T.P. Nykoriak: no report covering this period is on file with the Federal Election Commission.

RaisedFEC, through July 15

$1.37M

—

Cash on handFEC, through July 15

$142.9K

No office on file

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

Michigan 13th District

Prior result

D+41.4

2024 general election, won by Shri Thanedar.