Elections Intelligence
House
Full race page

Stylo Sapaskis

U.S. House H architectural icon OfficeHouse Republican Long shot
CHALLENGER ON THE 2026 BALLOT SAFE D — AGAINST THE CANDIDATE KALSHI · 4.3¢ · CHECKED 1:29 AM ET
WHAT THE SIGNAL READS ON SAPASKIS
THE SEAT THEY ARE IN

Safe D

Stylo Sapaskis is a candidate in New York's 15th district, a seat the band rates Safe D. The market prices their contract at 4.3¢ against Torres' 98.9¢, up 1.2¢ across 25 observation days.

MARKET · PARTY WINNER Kalshi ↗
Stylo Sapaskis · Republican · KXHOUSERACE-NY15-26-R

4.3¢

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Stylo Sapaskis by name.

▲ 1.2¢

since Aug 3

2026-08-0325 observation days · high 7.0¢ · low 2.6¢2026-09-21
Stylo Sapaskis Republican
4.3¢

Settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on this candidate by name.

Ritchie Torres Democratic · incumbent
98.9¢

Settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on this candidate by name.

Gonzalo Duran other
no contract on this candidate in the market

DEPTH ON THIS BOOK 1,826 traded · 1,527 open

Sides may not sum to 100. Prices are the yes ask. checked 1:29 AM ET

SAPASKIS AGAINST TORRES · METRIC BY METRIC
Sapaskis
Torres
MARKETchecked 1:29 AM ET

4.3¢

98.9¢

RAISED THIS CYCLEFederal Election Commission, through June 30, 2026

No filing on file for Stylo Sapaskis with the Federal Election Commission.

$6.91M

WHAT THEY HOLD NOW

Holds no office

Candidate

U.S. Representative

New York's 15th district · since 2025 · defending it

Stylo Sapaskis holds no seat, so no redraw applies to them.

THE 2026 RACE · NEW YORK 15TH DISTRICT
LATEST POLLNot yet collectedno qualifying public poll retrieved for this race
PRIOR MARGIND+55.162024 general election · this seat's last result, won by Ritchie Torres
COMPARE V TORRES ⇄