Steven Shook · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Shook is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Shook at 3.4¢ against Gill's 95.3¢, down 7.6¢ since August 3. Gill leads 244.8 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Shook · Democratic contract

3.4¢

▼ 7.6¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Steven Shook by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 13¢ · low 0.2¢Oct 12

Steven ShookDemocratic

3.4¢

Brandon GillRepublican · incumbent

95.3¢

19,991 traded · 3,969 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Shook v Gill

Metric by metric

Shook

Gill

3.4¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

95.3¢

$17.2K

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$4.22M

$3.8K

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$1.41M

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2025

The 2026 race

Texas 26th District

Prior result

R+26.4

2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Brandon Gill.

Fundraising

244.8 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.