Elections Intelligence

Steve Manos

CA-39U.S. House H architectural icon
CHALLENGER Safe D Long shot
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Manos is the Republican challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Manos at 3.2¢ against Takano's 98.9¢, down 1.5¢ since August 3.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Manos · Republican contract
3.2¢
▼ 1.5¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Steve Manos by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 8.5¢ · low 1.9¢Oct 12
Steve ManosRepublican
3.2¢
Mark TakanoDemocratic · incumbent
98.9¢

4,097 traded · 2,890 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Manos v Takano

Metric by metric
Manos
Takano
3.2¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
98.9¢
No total for Steve Manos: no report covering this period is on file with the Federal Election Commission.
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$893.8K
—
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$186.2K
No office on file
Holds now
U.S. Representativesince 2013

The 2026 race

California 39th District
Prior result
D+13.4

2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Mark Takano.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.