Elections Intelligence

Steve Cohen

CA-50U.S. House H architectural icon
CHALLENGER Safe D Long shot
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Cohen is the Republican challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Cohen at 3.5¢ against Peters's 97.5¢, up 0.2¢ since August 3.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Cohen · Republican contract
3.5¢
▲ 0.2¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Steve Cohen by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 7.3¢ · low 3.3¢Oct 12
Steve CohenRepublican
3.5¢
Scott H. PetersDemocratic · incumbent
97.5¢

2,734 traded · 779 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Cohen v Peters

Metric by metric
Cohen
Peters
3.5¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
97.5¢
No total for Steve Cohen: no report covering this period is on file with the Federal Election Commission.
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$1.81M
—
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$2.60M
No office on file
Holds now
U.S. Representativesince 2013

The 2026 race

California 50th District
Prior result
D+28.6

2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Scott H. Peters.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.