Spencer Meline · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Meline is the Republican challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Meline at 6.8¢ against Schrier's 99.6¢, up 3¢ since August 3. Schrier leads 23.8 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Meline · Republican contract

6.8¢

▲ 3.0¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Spencer Meline by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 8.4¢ · low 2.9¢Oct 12

Spencer MelineRepublican

6.8¢

Kim SchrierDemocratic · incumbent

99.6¢

5,512 traded · 2,593 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Meline v Schrier

Metric by metric

Meline

Schrier

6.8¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

99.6¢

$126.5K

RaisedFEC, through July 15

$3.02M

$89.9K

Cash on handFEC, through July 15

$3.51M

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2019

The 2026 race

Washington 8th District

Prior result

D+8.2

2024 general election, won by Kim Schrier.

Fundraising

23.8 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 15.