Ronald C. Russell · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Russell is the Republican challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Russell at 3.3¢ against Pingree's 97.8¢, down 0.1¢ since August 3. The polling average has Pingree ahead by 22 points, and Pingree leads 5.6 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Russell · Republican contract

3.3¢

▼ 0.1¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Ronald C. Russell by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 3.4¢ · low 3¢Oct 12

Ronald C. RussellRepublican

3.3¢

Chellie PingreeDemocratic · incumbent

97.8¢

4,224 traded · 2,307 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Russell v Pingree

Metric by metric

Russell

Pingree

3.3¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

97.8¢

$75.7K

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$429.6K

$20.0K

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$423.1K

35%

Latest pollUNH · Sep 21

57%

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2009

The 2026 race

Maine 1st District

Latest poll

D+22

UNH, September 21.

Prior result

D+22.3

2024 general election, won by Chellie Pingree.

Fundraising

5.6 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.