Robert Gerald Burke · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Burke is the Republican challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Burke at 4.3¢, up 0.6¢ since August 3. Lynch leads 596.8 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Burke · Republican contract

4.3¢

▲ 0.6¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Robert Gerald Burke by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 6.2¢ · low 3.7¢Oct 12

Robert Gerald BurkeRepublican

4.3¢

Stephen F. LynchDemocratic

no contract on this candidate in the market

534 traded · 447 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Burke v Lynch

Metric by metric

Burke

Lynch

4.3¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

No contract on Stephen F. Lynch.

$1.5K

RaisedFEC, through August 12 and September 30

$910.2K

$-16966

Cash on handFEC, through August 12 and September 30

$642.3K

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2001

The 2026 race

Massachusetts 8th District

Prior result

D+41.0

2024 general election, won by Stephen F. Lynch.

Fundraising

596.8 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through September 30.