Rick Crosson · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Likely R

Crosson is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Likely R. The market has Crosson at 13¢ against Wied's 89¢, down 3¢ since August 3. Wied leads 16.2 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Crosson · Democratic contract

13.0¢

▼ 3.0¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Rick Crosson by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 16¢ · low 9.8¢Oct 12

Rick CrossonDemocratic

13.0¢

Tony WiedRepublican · incumbent

89.0¢

21,085 traded · 6,516 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Crosson v Wied

Metric by metric

Crosson

Wied

13.0¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

89.0¢

$66.9K

RaisedFEC, through July 22

$1.09M

$24.4K

Cash on handFEC, through July 22

$515.6K

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2024

The 2026 race

Wisconsin 8th District

Prior result

R+14.7

2024 general election, won by Tony Wied.

Fundraising

16.2 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 22.