Ray Pooley · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Pooley is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Pooley at 3.6¢ against McClain's 97.9¢, down 2.9¢ since August 3. McClain leads 648.5 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Pooley · Democratic contract

3.6¢

▼ 2.9¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Ray Pooley by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 8.4¢ · low 3.6¢Oct 12

Ray PooleyDemocratic

3.6¢

Lisa C. McClainRepublican · incumbent

97.9¢

6,401 traded · 1,828 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Pooley v McClain

Metric by metric

Pooley

McClain

3.6¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

97.9¢

$8.1K

RaisedFEC, through July 15

$5.24M

$4.9K

Cash on handFEC, through July 15

$1.54M

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2021

The 2026 race

Michigan 9th District

Prior result

R+35.2

2024 general election, won by Lisa C. McClain.

Fundraising

648.5 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 15.