Elections Intelligence

Peter Coe Verbica

CA-19U.S. House H architectural icon
CHALLENGER Safe D Long shot
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Verbica is the Republican challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Verbica at 3.3¢ against Panetta's 98.1¢, up 1.9¢ since August 3. Panetta leads 37.8 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Verbica · Republican contract
3.3¢
▲ 1.9¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Peter Coe Verbica by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 5.6¢ · low 1.4¢Oct 12
Peter Coe VerbicaRepublican
3.3¢
Jimmy PanettaDemocratic · incumbent
98.1¢

5,917 traded · 3,236 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Verbica v Panetta

Metric by metric
Verbica
Panetta
3.3¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
98.1¢
$76.3K
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$2.89M
$24.7K
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$5.11M
No office on file
Holds now
U.S. Representativesince 2017

The 2026 race

California 19th District
Prior result
D+38.6

2024 general election, won by Jimmy Panetta.

Fundraising
37.8 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.