Paul Wikstrom · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Wikstrom is the Republican challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Wikstrom at 4.4¢ against McCollum's 96.8¢, down 1.1¢ since August 3. McCollum leads 44.6 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Wikstrom · Republican contract

4.4¢

▼ 1.1¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Paul Wikstrom by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 8.9¢ · low 4.4¢Oct 12

Paul WikstromRepublican

4.4¢

Betty McCollumDemocratic · incumbent

96.8¢

22,117 traded · 6,897 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Wikstrom v McCollum

Metric by metric

Wikstrom

McCollum

4.4¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

96.8¢

$28.0K

RaisedFEC, through July 22

$1.25M

$2.2K

Cash on handFEC, through July 22

$498.7K

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2001

The 2026 race

Minnesota 4th District

Prior result

D+34.7

2024 general election, won by Betty McCollum.

Fundraising

44.6 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 22.