Paul Berry III · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Berry is the Republican challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Berry at 3.4¢ against Bell's 99.2¢, down 0.1¢ since August 3.

Berry · Republican contract

3.4¢

▼ 0.1¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Paul Berry III by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 7.3¢ · low 3.2¢Oct 12

Paul Berry IIIRepublican

3.4¢

Wesley BellDemocratic · incumbent

99.2¢

2,594 traded · 1,786 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Metric by metric

Berry

Bell

3.4¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

99.2¢

No filing on file for Paul Berry III with the Federal Election Commission.

RaisedFEC, through July 15

$3.56M

—

Cash on handFEC, through July 15

$1.09M

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2025

Missouri 1st District

Prior result

D+57.6

2024 general election, won by Wesley Bell.