Patti Adair · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Adair is the Republican challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Adair at 4.8¢ against Bynum's 95.8¢, down 5.2¢ since August 3. Bynum leads 8.8 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Adair · Republican contract

4.8¢

▼ 5.2¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Patti Adair by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 13¢ · low 1¢Oct 12

Patti AdairRepublican

4.8¢

Janelle S. BynumDemocratic · incumbent

95.8¢

6,380 traded · 3,727 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Adair v Bynum

Metric by metric

Adair

Bynum

4.8¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

95.8¢

$423.9K

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$3.76M

$135.4K

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$2.72M

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2025

The 2026 race

Oregon 5th District

Prior result

D+2.7

2024 general election, won by Janelle S. Bynum.

Fundraising

8.8 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.