Elections Intelligence

Patrick McAuley

IN-7U.S. House H architectural icon
CHALLENGER Safe D Long shot
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe D

McAuley is the Republican challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has McAuley at 4.8¢ against Carson's 98¢, up 0.4¢ since August 3.

The market

Kalshi ↗
McAuley · Republican contract
4.8¢
▲ 0.4¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Patrick McAuley by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 6.4¢ · low 3.5¢Oct 12
Patrick McAuleyRepublican
4.8¢
André CarsonDemocratic · incumbent
98.0¢

21,180 traded · 9,230 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

McAuley v Carson

Metric by metric
McAuley
Carson
4.8¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
98.0¢
No total for Patrick McAuley: no report covering this period is on file with the Federal Election Commission.
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$1.01M
—
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$621.4K
No office on file
Holds now
U.S. Representativesince 2008

The 2026 race

Indiana 7th District
Prior result
D+39.4

2024 general election, won by André Carson.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.