Nirav Sheth · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Sheth is the Republican challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Sheth at 1.8¢ against Jayapal's 99.5¢, down 2.2¢ since August 3. Jayapal leads 211.9 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Sheth · Republican contract

1.8¢

▼ 2.2¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Nirav Sheth by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 4¢ · low 1.8¢Oct 12

Nirav ShethRepublican

1.8¢

Pramila JayapalDemocratic · incumbent

99.5¢

612 traded · 609 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Sheth v Jayapal

Metric by metric

Sheth

Jayapal

1.8¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

99.5¢

$11.8K

RaisedFEC, through July 15 and July 22

$2.50M

$5.0K

Cash on handFEC, through July 15 and July 22

$1.77M

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2017

The 2026 race

Washington 7th District

Prior result

D+68.1

2024 general election, won by Pramila Jayapal.

Fundraising

211.9 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 22.