Ned Pillersdorf · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Pillersdorf is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Pillersdorf at 2.1¢ against Rogers's 97.9¢, down 1.9¢ since August 3. Rogers leads 4.6 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Pillersdorf · Democratic contract

2.1¢

▼ 1.9¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Ned Pillersdorf by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 4.5¢ · low 2.1¢Oct 12

Ned PillersdorfDemocratic

2.1¢

Harold RogersRepublican · incumbent

97.9¢

1,736 traded · 664 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Pillersdorf v Rogers

Metric by metric

Pillersdorf

Rogers

2.1¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

97.9¢

$182.3K

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$849.8K

$91.3K

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$874.7K

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 1981

The 2026 race

Kentucky 5th District

Prior result

R+100.0

2024 general election, won by Harold Rogers.

Fundraising

4.6 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.