Monique DeSpain · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

DeSpain is the Republican challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has DeSpain at 5.9¢ against Hoyle's 97.1¢, down 0.1¢ since August 3. Hoyle leads 1.8 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

DeSpain · Republican contract

5.9¢

▼ 0.1¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Monique DeSpain by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 9.5¢ · low 3.3¢Oct 12

Monique DeSpainRepublican

5.9¢

Val T. HoyleDemocratic · incumbent

97.1¢

1,854 traded · 1,515 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

DeSpain v Hoyle

Metric by metric

DeSpain

Hoyle

5.9¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

97.1¢

$677.6K

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$1.22M

$387.7K

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$520.8K

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2023

The 2026 race

Oregon 4th District

Prior result

D+7.8

2024 general election, won by Val T. Hoyle.

Fundraising

1.8 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.