Missi Hesketh · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Hesketh is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Hesketh at 2.1¢ against Burlison's 97.6¢, down 2.6¢ since August 3. Burlison leads 28.9 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Hesketh · Democratic contract

2.1¢

▼ 2.6¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Missi Hesketh by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 7¢ · low 2.1¢Oct 12

Missi HeskethDemocratic

2.1¢

Eric BurlisonRepublican · incumbent

97.6¢

1,496 traded · 1,326 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Hesketh v Burlison

Metric by metric

Hesketh

Burlison

2.1¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

97.6¢

$50.5K

RaisedFEC, through July 15

$1.46M

$33.5K

Cash on handFEC, through July 15

$957.6K

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2023

The 2026 race

Missouri 7th District

Prior result

R+45.3

2024 general election, won by Eric Burlison.

Fundraising

28.9 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 15.