Elections Intelligence
PROFILES / U.S. HOUSE / NEW YORK

Mike Lawler

Republican · House challenger
CHALLENGER ON THE 2026 BALLOT TOSS-UP KALSHI · 34¢ · CHECKED Aug 27
THE 2026 RACE · NEW YORK 17TH DISTRICTFull race page →
OPPONENTCait Conley (D)Challenger
FTP RACE SIGNALToss-upAI-enabled synthesis of attributed evidence · not a publisher rating
KALSHI · Aug 27D 69¢ · R 34¢
LATEST POLLR+5<a class="e-poll-source" href="https://coefficient.org/b96b92b3.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">co/efficient ↗</a> (B) 07-23 · n=1,292
STANDING · THIS SEAT
2:1fundraising ratio v Conley · FEC period 06-30
CAMPAIGN FINANCE · FECPULLED 08-04 · PERIOD 06-30
$8.17Mraised
$4.84Mcash on hand
· Conley: $4.32M / $1.32M CoH
BALLOT & DATES
Primary06-23 · HELD
GeneralNov 3, 2026
R settled · D settled
COMPARE V CONLEY ⇄