Mike Kirchner · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Kirchner is the Republican challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Kirchner at 1.6¢ against Brown's 99.7¢, down 4.4¢ since August 3.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Kirchner · Republican contract

1.6¢

▼ 4.4¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Mike Kirchner by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 6¢ · low 1.4¢Oct 12

Mike KirchnerRepublican

1.6¢

Shontel M. BrownDemocratic · incumbent

99.7¢

1,479 traded · 673 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Kirchner v Brown

Metric by metric

Kirchner

Brown

1.6¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

99.7¢

No total for Mike Kirchner: no report covering this period is on file with the Federal Election Commission.

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$1.18M

—

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$1.16M

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2021

The 2026 race

Ohio 11th District

Prior result

D+58.7

2024 general election, won by Shontel M. Brown.