Mike Cargile · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Cargile is the Republican challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Cargile at 2.1¢ against Torres's 99.5¢, down 9.9¢ since August 3. Torres leads 161.6 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Cargile · Republican contract

2.1¢

▼ 9.9¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Mike Cargile by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 12¢ · low 1.4¢Oct 12

Mike CargileRepublican

2.1¢

Norma J. TorresDemocratic · incumbent

99.5¢

879 traded · 876 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Cargile v Torres

Metric by metric

Cargile

Torres

2.1¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

99.5¢

$4.8K

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$769.1K

$2.9K

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$339.2K

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2015

The 2026 race

California 35th District

Prior result

D+16.8

2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Norma J. Torres.

Fundraising

161.6 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.