Michaela Barnett · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Barnett is a Democratic candidate for a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Barnett at 5.1¢ against Burchett's 97.8¢, up 0.6¢ since August 3. Burchett leads 6.1 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Barnett · Democratic contract

5.1¢

▲ 0.6¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Michaela Barnett by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 10¢ · low 3.5¢Oct 12

Michaela BarnettDemocratic

5.1¢

Tim BurchettRepublican · incumbent

97.8¢

1,077 traded · 832 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Barnett v Burchett

Metric by metric

Barnett

Burchett

5.1¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

97.8¢

$397.6K

RaisedFEC, through July 17

$2.43M

$56.2K

Cash on handFEC, through July 17

$967.4K

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2019

The 2026 race

Tennessee 2nd District

Prior result

R+38.5

2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Tim Burchett.

Fundraising

6.1 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 17.