Elections Intelligence

Michael Noack

IL-2U.S. House H architectural icon
CHALLENGER Safe D Long shot
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Noack is the Republican nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Noack at 5¢ against Miller's 98.2¢, up 1.1¢ since August 3.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Noack · Republican contract
5.0¢
▲ 1.1¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Michael Noack by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 5.1¢ · low 2.5¢Oct 12
Michael NoackRepublican
5.0¢
Donna MillerDemocratic
98.2¢

1,154 traded · 492 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Noack v Miller

Metric by metric
Noack
Miller
5.0¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
98.2¢
No total for Michael Noack: no report covering this period is on file with the Federal Election Commission.
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$2.45M
—
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$40.5K
No office on file
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

Illinois 2nd District
Prior result
D+35.2

2024 general election, won by Robin Kelly.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.