Michael Goldstein · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Goldstein is the Republican challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Goldstein at 3.4¢ against Himes's 99.4¢, down 0.1¢ since August 3. Himes leads 29.4 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Goldstein · Republican contract

3.4¢

▼ 0.1¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Michael Goldstein by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 6¢ · low 3.4¢Oct 12

Michael GoldsteinRepublican

3.4¢

James A. HimesDemocratic · incumbent

99.4¢

1,716 traded · 1,390 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Goldstein v Himes

Metric by metric

Goldstein

Himes

3.4¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

99.4¢

$46.8K

RaisedFEC, through June 30 and July 22

$1.38M

$41.0K

Cash on handFEC, through June 30 and July 22

$2.52M

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2009

The 2026 race

Connecticut 4th District

Prior result

D+23.7

2024 general election, won by James A. Himes.

Fundraising

29.4 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 22.