Elections Intelligence

Melissa Bean

IL-8U.S. House H architectural icon
CHALLENGER Likely D to Safe D Strong favorite
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Bean is the Democratic nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Bean at 94.9¢ against Davis's 6.9¢, up 1.4¢ since August 3. Bean leads 1.4 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Bean · Democratic contract
94.9¢
▲ 1.4¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Melissa Bean by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 96.3¢ · low 93¢Oct 12
Melissa BeanDemocratic
94.9¢
Jennifer DavisRepublican
6.9¢

8,370 traded · 6,034 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Bean v Davis

Metric by metric
Bean
Davis
94.9¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
6.9¢
$2.07M
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$1.48M
$144.5K
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$730.4K
No office on file
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

Illinois 8th District
Prior result
D+14.2

2024 general election, won by Raja Krishnamoorthi.

Fundraising
1.4 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.