Megan Wingfield · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Wingfield is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Wingfield at 4.7¢ against Guthrie's 97.7¢, down 0.8¢ since August 3. Guthrie leads 624.4 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Wingfield · Democratic contract

4.7¢

▼ 0.8¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Megan Wingfield by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 10¢ · low 3.8¢Oct 12

Megan WingfieldDemocratic

4.7¢

Brett GuthrieRepublican · incumbent

97.7¢

3,101 traded · 2,487 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Wingfield v Guthrie

Metric by metric

Wingfield

Guthrie

4.7¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

97.7¢

$7.5K

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$4.71M

$1.2K

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$1.72M

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2009

The 2026 race

Kentucky 2nd District

Prior result

R+46.2

2024 general election, won by Brett Guthrie.

Fundraising

624.4 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.