Mary Silva · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Silva is the Republican challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Silva at 4¢ against DelBene's 97.8¢, up 0.8¢ since August 3. DelBene leads 1114.3 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Silva · Republican contract

4.0¢

▲ 0.8¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Mary Silva by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 6.2¢ · low 2¢Oct 12

Mary SilvaRepublican

4.0¢

Suzan K. DelBeneDemocratic · incumbent

97.8¢

14,662 traded · 13,491 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Silva v DelBene

Metric by metric

Silva

DelBene

4.0¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

97.8¢

$3.2K

RaisedFEC, through July 15

$3.55M

$820

Cash on handFEC, through July 15

$1.11M

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2012

The 2026 race

Washington 1st District

Prior result

D+26.3

2024 general election, won by Suzan K. DelBene.

Fundraising

1114.3 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 15.