Elections Intelligence

Marty Young

PA-6U.S. House H architectural icon
CHALLENGER Safe D Long shot
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Young is the Republican challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Young at 4.5¢ against Houlahan's 98.5¢, up 3.5¢ since August 3. Houlahan leads 4.2 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Young · Republican contract
4.5¢
▲ 3.5¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Marty Young by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 8.1¢ · low 1¢Oct 12
Marty YoungRepublican
4.5¢
Chrissy HoulahanDemocratic · incumbent
98.5¢

6,940 traded · 6,510 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Young v Houlahan

Metric by metric
Young
Houlahan
4.5¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
98.5¢
$411.3K
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$1.76M
$213.4K
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$4.04M
No office on file
Holds now
U.S. Representativesince 2019

The 2026 race

Pennsylvania 6th District
Prior result
D+12.4

2024 general election, won by Chrissy Houlahan.

Fundraising
4.2 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.