Martin Zamora · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Zamora is the Republican challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Zamora at 4.5¢ against Fernandez's 97.5¢, down 5.4¢ since August 3. Fernandez leads 2.8 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Zamora · Republican contract

4.5¢

▼ 5.4¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Martin Zamora by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 10¢ · low 3.6¢Oct 12

Martin ZamoraRepublican

4.5¢

Teresa Leger FernandezDemocratic · incumbent

97.5¢

6,676 traded · 3,635 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Zamora v Fernandez

Metric by metric

Zamora

Fernandez

4.5¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

97.5¢

$440.6K

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$1.25M

$242.6K

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$667.0K

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2021

The 2026 race

New Mexico 3rd District

Prior result

D+12.6

2024 general election, won by Teresa Leger Fernandez.

Fundraising

2.8 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.