Elections Intelligence

Martha Fierro

TX-29U.S. House H architectural icon
CHALLENGER Safe D Long shot
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Fierro is the Republican challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Fierro at 2¢ against Garcia's 97.6¢, down 2.2¢ since August 3.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Fierro · Republican contract
2.0¢
▼ 2.2¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Martha Fierro by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 10¢ · low 2¢Oct 12
Martha FierroRepublican
2.0¢
Sylvia R. GarciaDemocratic · incumbent
97.6¢

2,021 traded · 1,718 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Fierro v Garcia

Metric by metric
Fierro
Garcia
2.0¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
97.6¢
$0
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$987.4K
$0
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$201.0K
No office on file
Holds now
U.S. Representativesince 2019

The 2026 race

Texas 29th District
Prior result
D+30.6

2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Sylvia R. Garcia.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.