Elections Intelligence

Mark Nair

TX-13U.S. House H architectural icon
CHALLENGER Safe R Long shot
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Nair is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Nair at 3.5¢ against Jackson's 96.9¢, down 1.5¢ since August 3. Jackson leads 39.6 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Nair · Democratic contract
3.5¢
▼ 1.5¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Mark Nair by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 5¢ · low 3.5¢Oct 12
Mark NairDemocratic
3.5¢
Ronny JacksonRepublican · incumbent
96.9¢

25,068 traded · 12,642 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Nair v Jackson

Metric by metric
Nair
Jackson
3.5¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
96.9¢
$101.9K
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$4.04M
$14.0K
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$5.41M
No office on file
Holds now
U.S. Representativesince 2021

The 2026 race

Texas 13th District
Prior result
R+100.0

2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Ronny Jackson.

Fundraising
39.6 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.