Luke Bronin · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe D

Bronin is the Democratic nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Bronin at 98.2¢ against Chai's 3.2¢, up 3.8¢ since August 3. Bronin leads 147.4 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Bronin · Democratic contract

98.2¢

▲ 3.8¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Luke Bronin by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 98.6¢ · low 94.4¢Oct 12

Luke BroninDemocratic

98.2¢

Amy ChaiRepublican

3.2¢

5,575 traded · 4,459 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Bronin v Chai

Metric by metric

Bronin

Chai

98.2¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

3.2¢

$3.07M

RaisedFEC, through June 30 and July 22

$20.8K

$600.9K

Cash on handFEC, through June 30 and July 22

$344

No office on file

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

Connecticut 1st District

Prior result

D+28.3

2024 general election, won by John B. Larson.

Fundraising

147.4 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 22.