Lee McInnis · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe R

McInnis is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has McInnis at 2.2¢ against Rogers's 99.2¢, down 1.2¢ since August 3. Rogers leads 35 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

McInnis · Democratic contract

2.2¢

▼ 1.2¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Lee McInnis by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 6¢ · low 1.2¢Oct 12

Lee McInnisDemocratic

2.2¢

Mike RogersRepublican · incumbent

99.2¢

15,236 traded · 4,933 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

McInnis v Rogers

Metric by metric

McInnis

Rogers

2.2¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

99.2¢

$60.8K

RaisedFEC, through June 30 and September 30

$2.13M

$9.5K

Cash on handFEC, through June 30 and September 30

$2.59M

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2003

The 2026 race

Alabama 3rd District

Prior result

R+100.0

2024 general election, won by Mike Rogers.

Fundraising

35 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through September 30.