Laura Jones · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Jones is the Democratic nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Jones at 4.9¢ against Steinmann's 96.7¢, up 1.3¢ since August 3. Steinmann leads 93.9 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Jones · Democratic contract

4.9¢

▲ 1.3¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Laura Jones by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 5¢ · low 3.4¢Oct 12

Laura JonesDemocratic

4.9¢

Jessica SteinmannRepublican

96.7¢

22,707 traded · 8,907 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Jones v Steinmann

Metric by metric

Jones

Steinmann

4.9¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

96.7¢

$22.0K

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$2.06M

$7.9K

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$122.2K

No office on file

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

Texas 8th District

Prior result

R+36.4

2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Morgan Luttrell.

Fundraising

93.9 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.