Kyle Rable · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Rable is the Democratic nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Rable at 2.1¢ against Sell's 98.5¢, up 0.1¢ since August 3. Sell leads 68.5 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Rable · Democratic contract

2.1¢

▲ 0.1¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Kyle Rable by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 4¢ · low 2¢Oct 12

Kyle RableDemocratic

2.1¢

Tom SellRepublican

98.5¢

6,429 traded · 1,132 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Rable v Sell

Metric by metric

Rable

Sell

2.1¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

98.5¢

$31.3K

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$2.14M

$7.6K

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$384.8K

No office on file

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

Texas 19th District

Prior result

Arrington +70.4

Arrington won 80.7% to 10.3% over Nathan Lewis (independent) (2024).

Fundraising

68.5 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.