Elections Intelligence
PROFILES / U.S. HOUSE / CALIFORNIA

Kevin Kiley

Independent · House challenger
CHALLENGER ON THE 2026 BALLOT SAFE D KALSHI · 6.5¢ · CHECKED Aug 27
THE 2026 RACE · CALIFORNIA 6TH DISTRICTFull race page →
OPPONENTRichard Pan (D)Challenger
FTP RACE SIGNALSafe DAI-enabled synthesis of attributed evidence · not a publisher rating
KALSHI · Aug 27PAN 96.5¢ · KILEY 6.5¢ · PARTY 2¢
LATEST POLLD+4<a class="e-poll-source" href="https://www.semafor.com/article/07/28/2026/independent-group-eyes-delbenes-seat" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">The Bullfinch Group ↗</a> (C-) 07-28 · n=546
STANDING · THIS SEAT
3:1fundraising ratio v Pan · FEC period 06-30
CAMPAIGN FINANCE · FECPULLED 08-04 · PERIOD 06-30
$2.99Mraised
$2.12Mcash on hand
· Pan: $1.10M / $359.1K CoH
BALLOT & DATES
Top-two primary06-02 · HELD
GeneralNov 3, 2026
Top-two field settled · both advancers on the November ballot
COMPARE V PAN ⇄