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PROFILES / U.S. HOUSE / CALIFORNIA
Kevin Kiley
Independent · House challenger
CHALLENGER
ON THE 2026 BALLOT
SAFE D
KALSHI ·
6.5¢
· CHECKED
Aug 27
THE 2026 RACE · CALIFORNIA 6TH DISTRICT
Full race page →
OPPONENT
Richard Pan (D)
Challenger
FTP RACE SIGNAL
Safe D
AI-enabled synthesis of attributed evidence · not a publisher rating
KALSHI ·
Aug 27
PAN 96.5¢ · KILEY 6.5¢ · PARTY 2¢
LATEST POLL
D+4
<a class="e-poll-source" href="https://www.semafor.com/article/07/28/2026/independent-group-eyes-delbenes-seat" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">The Bullfinch Group ↗</a> (C-) 07-28 · n=546
STANDING · THIS SEAT
3:1
fundraising ratio v Pan · FEC period 06-30
CAMPAIGN FINANCE · FEC
PULLED 08-04 · PERIOD 06-30
$2.99M
raised
$2.12M
cash on hand
KEVIN KILEY FOR CONGRESS ↗
· Pan: $1.10M / $359.1K CoH
BALLOT & DATES
Top-two primary
06-02 · HELD
General
Nov 3, 2026
Top-two field settled · both advancers on the November ballot
COMPARE V PAN ⇄