Elections Intelligence

Kelly Esti

GA-8U.S. House H architectural icon
CHALLENGER Safe R Long shot
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Esti is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Esti at 2.8¢ against Scott's 98¢, down 6.2¢ since August 3. Scott leads 58.1 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Esti · Democratic contract
2.8¢
▼ 6.2¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Kelly Esti by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 10¢ · low 2.8¢Oct 12
Kelly EstiDemocratic
2.8¢
Austin ScottRepublican · incumbent
98.0¢

6,891 traded · 3,707 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Esti v Scott

Metric by metric
Esti
Scott
2.8¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
98.0¢
$19.3K
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$1.12M
$1.7K
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$1.35M
No office on file
Holds now
U.S. Representativesince 2011

The 2026 race

Georgia 8th District
Prior result
R+37.8

2024 general election, won by Austin Scott.

Fundraising
58.1 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.