Elections Intelligence

Julie Fortier

IL-12U.S. House H architectural icon
CHALLENGER Safe R Long shot
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Fortier is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Fortier at 3.6¢ against Bost's 98¢, down 3.6¢ since August 3. Bost leads 15 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Fortier · Democratic contract
3.6¢
▼ 3.6¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Julie Fortier by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 9.6¢ · low 3.6¢Oct 12
Julie FortierDemocratic
3.6¢
Mike BostRepublican · incumbent
98.0¢

8,400 traded · 4,893 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Fortier v Bost

Metric by metric
Fortier
Bost
3.6¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
98.0¢
$88.1K
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$1.33M
$59.8K
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$790.0K
No office on file
Holds now
U.S. Representativesince 2015

The 2026 race

Illinois 12th District
Prior result
R+48.4

2024 general election, won by Mike Bost.

Fundraising
15 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.