Joshua Kolasinski · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Kolasinski is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Kolasinski at 3.8¢ against Jordan's 97.9¢, down 2.3¢ since August 3. Jordan leads 371 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Kolasinski · Democratic contract

3.8¢

▼ 2.3¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Joshua Kolasinski by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 6.1¢ · low 3.5¢Oct 12

Joshua KolasinskiDemocratic

3.8¢

Jim JordanRepublican · incumbent

97.9¢

2,820 traded · 1,029 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Kolasinski v Jordan

Metric by metric

Kolasinski

Jordan

3.8¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

97.9¢

$12.9K

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$4.77M

$465

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$6.03M

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2007

The 2026 race

Ohio 4th District

Prior result

R+36.9

2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Jim Jordan.

Fundraising

371 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.