Josh Smead
MO-6What the Signal reads
Safe R
Smead is the Democratic nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Smead at 5.2¢ against Stigall's 97¢, down 0.6¢ since August 3. Stigall leads 8.3 to 1 in money raised.
The market
Smead · Democratic contract
5.2¢
▼ 0.6¢since August 3
This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Josh Smead by name.
5,666 traded · 3,838 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
Smead v Stigall
Metric by metricThe 2026 race
Missouri 6th DistrictPrior result
R+43.8
2024 general election, won by Sam Graves.
Fundraising
8.3 to 1
Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 15.